Monday, March 18, 2013

The season so far-dry hot and stable

Despite being a primary area for dairy production in Australia , the area generally known as the Heytesbury has been very dry .
The last significant rain was in late November . While the Otway hinterland ( elevations over 130 mASL) is expected to stay green and growing  with some grass production into December ( growing season of 10-11 months ) we are getting near to a 4 month dry break .
Why is it so hard for farmers?
The moist summer element provides the sort of extra production that makes for a profit  (often around  90% of the income and 7-9 mth growing season is needed to pay bills )

Are the media right to focus on " wettest and driest and hottest MONTHS "  hey talk about months instead of seasons and doing that you find"unusual" months really easy.  They need to do maths in the real world and make real world comparisons .
The dumb part of this nonsense is illustrated by the fact that it can rain really heavy on the last /first days of a neighbouring month.   4 cycles in the 100 years we have been measuring could mean 400 different cycles in all of those seasons OR lots of external influences and random combinations of ash , cloud and radiation.  Ask questions -

Meanwhile we will keep hearing about the biggest and the worst 

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